Serie A · Brazil 🕒 Thursday 30th July, 23:30 BST

Corinthians vs Athletico PR Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Corinthians Home · 9th 7W 1D 2L last 10 home
VS
Athletico PR Away · 3rd 2W 3D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Corinthians 51% Draw 26% Athletico PR 23%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

Corinthians vs Athletico PR Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Corinthians have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Athletico PR in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says
51% Corinthians win 26% Draw 23% Athletico PR win 51% BTTS 47% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
72% Over 1.5 Goals

Corinthians sit 9th in the table after 20 games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match this season. Athletico PR are 3rd after 20 games, averaging 1 scored and 1.5 conceded on the road. Corinthians have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Athletico PR side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Corinthians have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games this season (2/10); Athletico PR in 60% away (6/10). Corinthians average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded at home, Athletico PR 1 and 1.5 on the road.

Athletico PR regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Corinthians are lower at home (10%, 1/10). They've conceded in 30% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Corinthians see 8+ in 80% of home games, Athletico PR in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Corinthians (9th) and Athletico PR (3rd) sit in the Serie A table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Athletico PR A 20 11 3 6 28:19 +9 36
8 Corinthians H 20 7 7 6 22:20 +2 28
View the full Serie A 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 20 13 5 2 34:16 +18 44
2 Flamengo 19 11 5 3 36:17 +19 38
3 Athletico PR A 20 11 3 6 28:19 +9 36
4 Fluminense 20 9 6 5 30:25 +5 33
5 Bragantino 20 9 4 7 26:20 +6 31
6 Bahia 20 8 7 5 29:25 +4 31
7 Botafogo 20 8 5 7 34:32 +2 29
8 Corinthians H 20 7 7 6 22:20 +2 28
9 Atlético Mineiro 20 8 4 8 25:25 0 28
10 Coritiba 20 7 6 7 25:27 -2 27
11 Cruzeiro 20 7 6 7 26:30 -4 27
12 São Paulo 20 7 5 8 25:23 +2 26
13 Vitória 20 7 5 8 22:27 -5 26
14 Santos 20 5 7 8 29:33 -4 22
15 Grêmio 20 5 7 8 22:26 -4 22
16 Internacional 20 5 6 9 22:26 -4 21
17 Vasco da Gama 20 5 6 9 23:31 -8 21
18 Remo 20 5 6 9 23:32 -9 21
19 Mirassol 19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
20 Chapecoense 20 1 7 12 19:41 -22 10

Team Form

Corinthians have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Athletico PR's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H Corinthians: last 10 home A Athletico PR: last 10 away
Won
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Athletico PR regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Corinthians are lower at home (10%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Corinthians: last 10 home A Athletico PR: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 51% · BTTS No 49%

Match Goals

Corinthians have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Athletico PR in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Corinthians: last 10 home A Athletico PR: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Corinthians have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Athletico PR in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Corinthians 1.3 scored · 0.5 conceded per home game Athletico PR 1 scored · 1.5 conceded per away game
H Corinthians: last 10 home A Athletico PR: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Corinthians 13 scored / 5 conceded at home · Athletico PR 10 scored / 15 conceded away

Match Corners

Corinthians regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Athletico PR are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Corinthians: last 10 home A Athletico PR: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Corinthians have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Athletico PR have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Corinthians: last 10 home A Athletico PR: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Corinthians and Athletico PR. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

19 Feb 2026
Athletico PR
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Corinthians
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Sep 2025
Corinthians
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Athletico PR
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Aug 2025
Athletico PR
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Corinthians
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Oct 2024
Corinthians
5 – 2 HT: 5-2
Athletico PR
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
23 Jun 2024
Athletico PR
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Corinthians
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Nov 2023
Corinthians
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Athletico PR
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Jun 2023
Athletico PR
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Corinthians
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Oct 2022
Corinthians
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Athletico PR
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Jun 2022
Athletico PR
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Corinthians
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Nov 2021
Corinthians
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Athletico PR
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Corinthians vs Athletico PR across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Corinthians 1.95 Model: 51%
Draw 3.3 Model: 26%
Athletico PR 4.2 Model: 23%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.05 Model: 51%
No 1.7 Model: 49%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.5 Model: 72%
Value Over 2.5 2.5 Model: 47%
Value Over 3.5 5 Model: 25%
Under 1.5 2.62 Model: 28%
Under 2.5 1.5 Model: 53%
Under 3.5 1.16 Model: 75%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.51 Model: 75%
Over 1.5 3.48

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.33 Model: 56%
Over 9.5 1.42 Model: 44%
Over 10.5 1.78 Model: 34%
Over 11.5 2.31 Model: 24%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Corinthians 2.66 Model: 37%
Draw 2.04 Model: 46%
Athletico PR 5.25 Model: 17%

Double Chance

Corinthians or Draw 1.22 Model: 77%
Corinthians or Athletico PR 1.33 Model: 74%
Draw or Athletico PR 1.81 Model: 49%

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 1.27 Model: 79%
Value Over 1.5 2.4 Model: 46%

Athletico PR Goals

Over 0.5 1.69 Model: 58%
Over 1.5 4 Model: 24%

Corinthians vs Athletico PR Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Corinthians vs Athletico PR?

Under 3.5 Goals: Corinthians have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Athletico PR in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Corinthians or Athletico PR?

Corinthians hold a clear form advantage. They've won 70% of home games in Serie A this season, while Athletico PR have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Corinthians and Athletico PR?

Mixed. Corinthians have seen BTTS in 10% of home games, Athletico PR in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Corinthians and Athletico PR?

Uncertain. Corinthians have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Athletico PR in 60% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Corinthians or Athletico PR?

Corinthians have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Athletico PR's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Corinthians and Athletico PR?

Possibly. Corinthians regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Athletico PR are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Mirassol vs Remo

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Vitória vs Palmeiras

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Fluminense vs Bahia

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that some stats are free is just the icing on the cake!"

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