Serie A · Brazil 🕒 Friday 31st July, 01:30 BST

Coritiba vs Cruzeiro Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Coritiba Home · 10th 3W 4D 3L last 10 home
VS
Cruzeiro Away · 11th 4W 4D 2L last 10 away
Win Probability
Coritiba 26% Draw 28% Cruzeiro 46%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Coritiba vs Cruzeiro Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Coritiba see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Cruzeiro in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
26% Coritiba win 28% Draw 46% Cruzeiro win 49% BTTS 43% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look

Coritiba sit 10th in the table after 20 games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Cruzeiro are 11th after 20 games, averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded on the road. Coritiba have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Cruzeiro have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Coritiba have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games this season (4/10); Cruzeiro in 50% away (5/10). Coritiba average 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, Cruzeiro 1.2 and 1.2 on the road.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season: Coritiba in 60% of home games (6/10), Cruzeiro in 70% away (7/10). Coritiba have scored in 80% of home fixtures; Cruzeiro in 90% of away games.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Coritiba see 8+ in 80% of home games, Cruzeiro in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

Where Coritiba (10th) and Cruzeiro (11th) sit in the Serie A table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
10 Coritiba H 20 7 6 7 25:27 -2 27
11 Cruzeiro A 20 7 6 7 26:30 -4 27
View the full Serie A 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 20 13 5 2 34:16 +18 44
2 Flamengo 19 11 5 3 36:17 +19 38
3 Athletico PR 20 11 3 6 28:19 +9 36
4 Fluminense 20 9 6 5 30:25 +5 33
5 Bragantino 20 9 4 7 26:20 +6 31
6 Bahia 20 8 7 5 29:25 +4 31
7 Botafogo 20 8 5 7 34:32 +2 29
8 Corinthians 20 7 7 6 22:20 +2 28
9 Atlético Mineiro 20 8 4 8 25:25 0 28
10 Coritiba H 20 7 6 7 25:27 -2 27
11 Cruzeiro A 20 7 6 7 26:30 -4 27
12 São Paulo 20 7 5 8 25:23 +2 26
13 Vitória 20 7 5 8 22:27 -5 26
14 Santos 20 5 7 8 29:33 -4 22
15 Grêmio 20 5 7 8 22:26 -4 22
16 Internacional 20 5 6 9 22:26 -4 21
17 Vasco da Gama 20 5 6 9 23:31 -8 21
18 Remo 20 5 6 9 23:32 -9 21
19 Mirassol 19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
20 Chapecoense 20 1 7 12 19:41 -22 10

Team Form

Coritiba have lost 30% of their home matches this season, while Cruzeiro have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

H Coritiba: last 10 home A Cruzeiro: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Coritiba have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Cruzeiro in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net. The stats support a goal at each end.

H Coritiba: last 10 home A Cruzeiro: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 49% · BTTS No 51%

Match Goals

Coritiba have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Cruzeiro in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Coritiba: last 10 home A Cruzeiro: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Coritiba have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Cruzeiro in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Coritiba 1.3 scored · 1.4 conceded per home game Cruzeiro 1.2 scored · 1.2 conceded per away game
H Coritiba: last 10 home A Cruzeiro: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Coritiba 13 scored / 14 conceded at home · Cruzeiro 12 scored / 12 conceded away

Match Corners

Coritiba regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Cruzeiro are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Coritiba: last 10 home A Cruzeiro: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Coritiba have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Cruzeiro have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Coritiba: last 10 home A Cruzeiro: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Coritiba and Cruzeiro. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

06 Feb 2026
Cruzeiro
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Coritiba
11 Nov 2023
Coritiba
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Cruzeiro
16 Jul 2023
Cruzeiro
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Coritiba
09 Oct 2021
Coritiba
0 – 3 HT: 0-2
Cruzeiro
Show 6 more meetings
06 Jul 2021
Cruzeiro
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Coritiba
18 Oct 2017
Coritiba
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Cruzeiro
25 Jun 2017
Cruzeiro
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Coritiba
14 Aug 2016
Cruzeiro
2 – 2 HT: 1-2
Coritiba
15 May 2016
Coritiba
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Cruzeiro
27 Sep 2015
Cruzeiro
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Coritiba

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Coritiba vs Cruzeiro across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Coritiba 3.2 Model: 26%
Draw 3.25 Model: 28%
Value Cruzeiro 2.3 Model: 46%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.91 Model: 49%
No 1.91 Model: 51%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.31 Model: 69%
Over 2.5 2.1 Model: 43%
Over 3.5 3.54 Model: 22%
Under 1.5 3.2 Model: 31%
Under 2.5 1.74 Model: 57%
Under 3.5 1.22 Model: 78%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.44 Model: 75%
Over 1.5 3.25

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.36 Model: 59%
Over 9.5 1.61 Model: 47%
Over 10.5 2 Model: 36%
Over 11.5 2.62 Model: 26%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Coritiba 3.75 Model: 22%
Draw 2.1 Model: 47%
Cruzeiro 2.87 Model: 31%

Double Chance

Coritiba or Draw 1.57 Model: 54%
Coritiba or Cruzeiro 1.33 Model: 72%
Draw or Cruzeiro 1.36 Model: 74%

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5 1.44 Model: 60%
Over 1.5 3.25 Model: 25%

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 1.28 Model: 74%
Over 1.5 2.25 Model: 41%

Coritiba vs Cruzeiro Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Coritiba vs Cruzeiro?

Over 8.5 Corners: Coritiba see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Cruzeiro in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Coritiba or Cruzeiro?

Cruzeiro hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Coritiba at home (30% wins) in Serie A. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Coritiba and Cruzeiro?

Possibly. Cruzeiro regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Coritiba are lower at home (60%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Coritiba and Cruzeiro?

Uncertain. Coritiba have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Cruzeiro in 50% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Coritiba or Cruzeiro?

Coritiba have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Cruzeiro's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Coritiba and Cruzeiro?

Possibly. Coritiba regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Cruzeiro are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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