Primera Division · Uruguay 🕒 Sunday 5th July, 18:00 BST

Danubio vs Juventud Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Danubio Home · 8th 3W 4D 3L last 10 home
VS
Juventud Away · 6th 1W 3D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Danubio 41% Draw 28% Juventud 31%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Danubio vs Juventud Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Danubio see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Juventud in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
41% Danubio win 28% Draw 31% Juventud win 50% BTTS 43% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
79% Under 3.5 Goals

Danubio sit 8th in the table after 15 games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Juventud are 6th after 15 games, averaging 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Danubio have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Juventud have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Juventud have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Danubio are lower at home (30%, 3/10), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded.

Juventud regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (90%, 9/10). Danubio are lower at home (50%, 5/10). They've conceded in 70% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Danubio see 9+ corners in 40% of home games, Juventud in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

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League Table

Where Danubio (8th) and Juventud (6th) sit in the Primera Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
13 Danubio H 18 4 7 7 19:26 -7 19
14 Juventud A 18 5 3 10 22:29 -7 18
View the full Primera Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Deportivo Maldonado 19 12 3 4 35:20 +15 39
2 Racing 19 10 7 2 25:15 +10 37
3 Peñarol 19 11 3 5 28:18 +10 36
4 Albion 19 9 5 5 29:20 +9 32
5 Nacional 19 10 1 8 31:26 +5 31
6 Central Español 19 9 4 6 27:25 +2 31
7 Montevideo City Torque 19 8 5 6 29:24 +5 29
8 Wanderers 19 7 5 7 22:24 -2 26
9 Liverpool 19 6 7 6 22:20 +2 25
10 Cerro Largo 19 7 3 9 21:20 +1 24
11 Defensor Sporting 19 5 8 6 15:16 -1 23
12 Boston River 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
13 Danubio H 18 4 7 7 19:26 -7 19
14 Juventud A 18 5 3 10 22:29 -7 18
15 Atlético Progreso 19 3 4 12 16:30 -14 13
16 Cerro 19 3 4 12 10:31 -21 13

Team Form

Juventud have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Danubio have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Danubio: last 10 home A Juventud: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Juventud regularly see both teams score in away matches (90%), while Danubio are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Danubio: last 10 home A Juventud: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 50% · BTTS No 50%

Match Goals

Juventud regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Danubio are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Danubio: last 10 home A Juventud: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Danubio have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Juventud in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Danubio 1.3 scored · 0.9 conceded per home game Juventud 1.1 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game
H Danubio: last 10 home A Juventud: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Danubio 13 scored / 9 conceded at home · Juventud 11 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Danubio have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Juventud in 30% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Danubio: last 10 home A Juventud: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Danubio have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Juventud have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

H Danubio: last 10 home A Juventud: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Danubio vs Juventud across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Danubio 2.75 Model: 41%
Draw 3.2 Model: 28%
Juventud 2.52 Model: 31%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.85 Model: 50%
No 1.85 Model: 50%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.39 Model: 69%
Over 2.5 2.19 Model: 43%
Over 3.5 4.12 Model: 21%
Under 1.5 2.91 Model: 32%
Under 2.5 1.63 Model: 57%
Under 3.5 1.22 Model: 79%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.45 Model: 77%
Over 1.5 3.3
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Danubio 3.55 Model: 32%
Draw 2.06 Model: 44%
Juventud 3.28 Model: 23%

Double Chance

Value Danubio or Draw 1.5 Model: 69%
Danubio or Juventud 1.31 Model: 72%
Draw or Juventud 1.4 Model: 59%

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 1.39 Model: 71%
Over 1.5 2.93 Model: 36%

Juventud Goals

Over 0.5 1.32 Model: 64%
Over 1.5 2.73 Model: 28%

Danubio vs Juventud Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Danubio vs Juventud?

Over 1.5 Goals: Danubio see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Juventud in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Danubio or Juventud?

Danubio have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Juventud on the road (10% wins) in Primera Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Danubio and Juventud?

Possibly. Juventud regularly see both teams score away (90%), while Danubio are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Danubio and Juventud?

Possibly. Juventud regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Danubio are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Danubio or Juventud?

Danubio have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Juventud's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Danubio and Juventud?

Danubio have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Juventud in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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