Primera Division · Uruguay 🕒 Tuesday 21st July, 00:00 BST

Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Defensor Sporting Home 4W 3D 3L last 10 home
VS
Liverpool Away 3W 4D 3L last 10 away
Win Probability
Defensor Sporting 34% Draw 29% Liverpool 37%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Defensor Sporting have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Liverpool in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
34% Defensor Sporting win 29% Draw 37% Liverpool win 47% BTTS 39% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
81% Under 3.5 Goals 67% Over 1.5 Goals

Defensor Sporting average 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Liverpool average 1 scored and 0.9 conceded in away fixtures. Defensor Sporting have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Liverpool have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Defensor Sporting have seen 3+ goals in only 30% of home fixtures; Liverpool in 20% away. Defensor Sporting average 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, Liverpool 1 and 0.9 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Defensor Sporting at 50% in home games (5/10), Liverpool at 40% away (4/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Defensor Sporting see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Liverpool in 20% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

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League Table

Where Defensor Sporting and Liverpool sit in the Primera Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
9 Liverpool A 19 6 7 6 22:20 +2 25
11 Defensor Sporting H 19 5 8 6 15:16 -1 23
View the full Primera Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Deportivo Maldonado 19 12 3 4 35:20 +15 39
2 Racing 19 10 7 2 25:15 +10 37
3 Peñarol 19 11 3 5 28:18 +10 36
4 Albion 19 9 5 5 29:20 +9 32
5 Nacional 19 10 1 8 31:26 +5 31
6 Central Español 19 9 4 6 27:25 +2 31
7 Montevideo City Torque 19 8 5 6 29:24 +5 29
8 Wanderers 19 7 5 7 22:24 -2 26
9 Liverpool A 19 6 7 6 22:20 +2 25
10 Cerro Largo 19 7 3 9 21:20 +1 24
11 Defensor Sporting H 19 5 8 6 15:16 -1 23
12 Boston River 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
13 Danubio 19 4 8 7 20:27 -7 20
14 Juventud 19 5 4 10 23:30 -7 19
15 Atlético Progreso 19 3 4 12 16:30 -14 13
16 Cerro 19 3 4 12 10:31 -21 13

Team Form

Defensor Sporting have won 40% of home games this season, Liverpool 30% away. The breakdown below gives the full picture heading into this match.

H Defensor Sporting: last 10 home A Liverpool: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Defensor Sporting have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Liverpool in 40% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Defensor Sporting: last 10 home A Liverpool: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 47% · BTTS No 53%

Match Goals

Defensor Sporting (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Liverpool (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

H Defensor Sporting: last 10 home A Liverpool: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Defensor Sporting have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Liverpool in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Defensor Sporting 1.2 scored · 1.1 conceded per home game Liverpool 1 scored · 0.9 conceded per away game
H Defensor Sporting: last 10 home A Liverpool: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Defensor Sporting 12 scored / 11 conceded at home · Liverpool 10 scored / 9 conceded away

Match Corners

Defensor Sporting have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Liverpool in 30% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Defensor Sporting: last 10 home A Liverpool: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Defensor Sporting have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Liverpool have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Defensor Sporting: last 10 home A Liverpool: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool?

Under 2.5 Goals: Defensor Sporting have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Liverpool in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Defensor Sporting or Liverpool?

Defensor Sporting have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Liverpool on the road (30% wins) in Primera Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Defensor Sporting and Liverpool?

Mixed. Defensor Sporting have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Liverpool in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Defensor Sporting and Liverpool?

Unlikely. Defensor Sporting (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Liverpool (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Primera Division. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Defensor Sporting or Liverpool?

Liverpool have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Defensor Sporting's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Defensor Sporting and Liverpool?

Defensor Sporting have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Liverpool in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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