Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Monday 23rd March, 21:30 GMT

Guayaquil City vs Leones del Norte Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Guayaquil City Home · 11th 2W 5D 3L last 10 home

Leones del Norte Away · 16th 2W 3D 5L last 10 away

Win Probability

Guayaquil City 46% Draw 30% Leones del Norte 24%

⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

Guayaquil City vs Leones del Norte Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Guayaquil City have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Leones del Norte in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says

46% Guayaquil City win 30% Draw 24% Leones del Norte win 42% BTTS 35% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score

Also worth a look

65% Under 2.5 Goals

Guayaquil City sit 11th in the table after 2 games, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Leones del Norte are 16th after 2 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. The form figures are level. Guayaquil City have won 20% of home games, Leones del Norte 20% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Guayaquil City have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games this season (2/10); Leones del Norte in 50% away (5/10). Guayaquil City average 0.7 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Leones del Norte 0.8 and 1.4 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Guayaquil City at 40% in home games (4/10), Leones del Norte at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Guayaquil City see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Leones del Norte in 60% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

League Table

Where Guayaquil City (11th) and Leones del Norte (16th) sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
11	Guayaquil City H	16	5	4	7	14:19	-5	19
13	Leones del Norte A	16	4	5	7	15:18	-3	17

View the full Liga Pro 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	16	12	1	3	32:18	+14	37
2	Deportivo Cuenca	16	8	3	5	18:17	+1	27
3	Universidad Católica	16	7	5	4	26:14	+12	26
4	Barcelona Guayaquil	16	7	5	4	18:13	+5	26
5	Aucas	16	7	5	4	19:16	+3	26
6	LDU Quito	15	7	3	5	16:13	+3	24
7	Orense	15	6	4	5	21:19	+2	22
8	Emelec	16	6	4	6	13:16	-3	22
9	Técnico Universitario	16	6	2	8	17:16	+1	20
10	Macará	16	5	5	6	15:18	-3	20
11	Guayaquil City H	16	5	4	7	14:19	-5	19
12	Mushuc Runa	16	4	6	6	19:21	-2	18
13	Leones del Norte A	16	4	5	7	15:18	-3	17
14	Libertad	16	4	5	7	16:22	-6	17
15	Delfin	16	4	4	8	8:15	-7	16
16	Manta	16	3	3	10	7:19	-12	12

Team Form

Guayaquil City (20% home wins) and Leones del Norte (20% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H Guayaquil City: last 10 home A Leones del Norte: last 10 away

Won

2/10 (20%)

Drawn

5/10 (50%)

3/10 (30%)

Lost

3/10 (30%)

5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Guayaquil City have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Leones del Norte in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Guayaquil City: last 10 home A Leones del Norte: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

4/10 (40%)

5/10 (50%)

Scored Themselves

5/10 (50%)

6/10 (60%)

Conceded

6/10 (60%)

7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 42% · BTTS No 58%

Match Goals

Guayaquil City have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Leones del Norte in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Guayaquil City: last 10 home A Leones del Norte: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

4/10 (40%)

7/10 (70%)

Over 2.5 Goals

2/10 (20%)

5/10 (50%)

Over 3.5 Goals

1/10 (10%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

7/10 (70%)

8/10 (80%)

Under 0.5 Goals

3/10 (30%)

2/10 (20%)

Under 1.5 Goals

6/10 (60%)

3/10 (30%)

Under 2.5 Goals

8/10 (80%)

5/10 (50%)

Under 3.5 Goals

9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Guayaquil City have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Leones del Norte in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Guayaquil City 0.7 scored · 0.9 conceded per home game Leones del Norte 0.8 scored · 1.4 conceded per away game

H Guayaquil City: last 10 home A Leones del Norte: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

2/10 (20%)

1/10 (10%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

1/10 (10%)

6/10 (60%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

5/10 (50%)

6/10 (60%)

Over 1.5 Scored

2/10 (20%)

1/10 (10%)

Over 2.5 Scored

0/10 (0%)

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Scored

0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

6/10 (60%)

7/10 (70%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

1/10 (10%)

6/10 (60%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

1/10 (10%)

0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Guayaquil City 7 scored / 9 conceded at home · Leones del Norte 8 scored / 14 conceded away

Match Corners

Guayaquil City have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Leones del Norte in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Guayaquil City: last 10 home A Leones del Norte: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

3/10 (30%)

6/10 (60%)

Over 9.5 Corners

2/10 (20%)

6/10 (60%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

4/10 (40%)

6/10 (60%)

Over 10.5 Corners

2/10 (20%)

5/10 (50%)

Over 11.5 Corners

1/10 (10%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 12.5 Corners

0/10 (0%)

2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Guayaquil City have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Leones del Norte have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Guayaquil City: last 10 home A Leones del Norte: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

2/10 (20%)

1/10 (10%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

3/10 (30%)

6/10 (60%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

3/10 (30%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

2/10 (20%)

1/10 (10%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

0/10 (0%)

1/10 (10%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

0/10 (0%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

3/10 (30%)

8/10 (80%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

3/10 (30%)

6/10 (60%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

3/10 (30%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

1/10 (10%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

1/10 (10%)

2/10 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Guayaquil City and Leones del Norte. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

29 Oct 2025

Leones del Norte

0 – 0 HT: 0-0

Guayaquil City

27 Aug 2025

Guayaquil City

2 – 1 HT: 1-1

Leones del Norte

23 Jul 2025

Leones del Norte

2 – 1 HT: 1-0

Guayaquil City

15 May 2025

Guayaquil City

0 – 1 HT: 0-0

Leones del Norte

Show 4 more meetings

18 Oct 2024

Guayaquil City

2 – 0 HT: 2-0

Leones del Norte

29 Aug 2024

Leones del Norte

1 – 0 HT: 0-0

Guayaquil City

30 May 2024

Leones del Norte

0 – 0 HT: 0-0

Guayaquil City

03 Apr 2024

Guayaquil City

0 – 0 HT: 0-0

Leones del Norte

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Guayaquil City vs Leones del Norte across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Guayaquil City 2.06 Model: 46%

Draw 2.98 Model: 30%

Leones del Norte 4.18 Model: 24%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.34 Model: 42%

No 1.6 Model: 58%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.57 Model: 61%

Over 2.5 2.79 Model: 35%

Over 3.5 5.7 Model: 16%

Under 1.5 2.42 Model: 39%

Under 2.5 1.44 Model: 65%

Under 3.5 1.09 Model: 84%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.6 Model: 74%

Over 1.5 3.82

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.23 Model: 40%

Over 9.5 1.78 Model: 30%

Over 10.5 2.33 Model: 21%

Over 11.5 2.46 Model: 14%

More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Guayaquil City 2.91 Model: 34%

Draw 1.95 Model: 47%

Leones del Norte 4.96 Model: 19%

Double Chance

Guayaquil City or Draw 1.24 Model: 76%

Guayaquil City or Leones del Norte 1.38 Model: 70%

Draw or Leones del Norte 1.78 Model: 54%

Guayaquil City Goals

Over 0.5 1.32 Model: 71%

Over 1.5 2.68 Model: 35%

Leones del Norte Goals

Over 0.5 1.72 Model: 55%

Over 1.5 4.33 Model: 19%

Guayaquil City vs Leones del Norte Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Guayaquil City vs Leones del Norte?

Under 3.5 Goals: Guayaquil City have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Leones del Norte in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Guayaquil City or Leones del Norte?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form. Guayaquil City have won 20% of home games, Leones del Norte 20% away in Liga Pro. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Guayaquil City and Leones del Norte?

Mixed. Guayaquil City have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Leones del Norte in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Pro fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Guayaquil City and Leones del Norte?

Uncertain. Guayaquil City have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Leones del Norte in 50% of away games in Liga Pro. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Guayaquil City or Leones del Norte?

Leones del Norte have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Guayaquil City's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Guayaquil City and Leones del Norte?

Guayaquil City have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Leones del Norte in 60% of away games in Liga Pro. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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