Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Wednesday 15th July, 01:00 BST

Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Leones del Norte Home 4W 4D 2L last 10 home
VS
Deportivo Cuenca Away 4W 2D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Leones del Norte 39% Draw 32% Deportivo Cuenca 29%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Leones del Norte have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Deportivo Cuenca in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
39% Leones del Norte win 32% Draw 29% Deportivo Cuenca win 41% BTTS 33% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
86% Under 3.5 Goals

Leones del Norte average 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Deportivo Cuenca average 0.6 scored and 1 conceded in away fixtures. The form figures are level. Leones del Norte have won 40% of home games, Deportivo Cuenca 40% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Leones del Norte have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; Deportivo Cuenca in 20% away. Leones del Norte average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Deportivo Cuenca 0.6 and 1 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Leones del Norte have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Deportivo Cuenca in 10% away (1/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Leones del Norte see 9+ corners in 30% of home games, Deportivo Cuenca in 10% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

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League Table

Where Leones del Norte and Deportivo Cuenca sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
2 Deportivo Cuenca A 16 8 3 5 18:17 +1 27
13 Leones del Norte H 16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
View the full Liga Pro 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 16 12 1 3 32:18 +14 37
2 Deportivo Cuenca A 16 8 3 5 18:17 +1 27
3 Universidad Católica 16 7 5 4 26:14 +12 26
4 Barcelona Guayaquil 16 7 5 4 18:13 +5 26
5 Aucas 16 7 5 4 19:16 +3 26
6 LDU Quito 15 7 3 5 16:13 +3 24
7 Orense 15 6 4 5 21:19 +2 22
8 Emelec 16 6 4 6 13:16 -3 22
9 Técnico Universitario 16 6 2 8 17:16 +1 20
10 Macará 16 5 5 6 15:18 -3 20
11 Guayaquil City 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
12 Mushuc Runa 16 4 6 6 19:21 -2 18
13 Leones del Norte H 16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
14 Libertad 16 4 5 7 16:22 -6 17
15 Delfin 16 4 4 8 8:15 -7 16
16 Manta 16 3 3 10 7:19 -12 12

Team Form

Leones del Norte (40% home wins) and Deportivo Cuenca (40% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H Leones del Norte: last 10 home A Deportivo Cuenca: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Leones del Norte (40% BTTS at home) and Deportivo Cuenca (10% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Leones del Norte: last 10 home A Deportivo Cuenca: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 41% · BTTS No 59%

Match Goals

Leones del Norte (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Deportivo Cuenca (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

H Leones del Norte: last 10 home A Deportivo Cuenca: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Leones del Norte have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Deportivo Cuenca in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Leones del Norte 1.2 scored · 0.7 conceded per home game Deportivo Cuenca 0.6 scored · 1 conceded per away game
H Leones del Norte: last 10 home A Deportivo Cuenca: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Leones del Norte 12 scored / 7 conceded at home · Deportivo Cuenca 6 scored / 10 conceded away

Match Corners

Leones del Norte have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Deportivo Cuenca in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Leones del Norte: last 10 home A Deportivo Cuenca: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Leones del Norte have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Deportivo Cuenca have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

H Leones del Norte: last 10 home A Deportivo Cuenca: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Under 2.5 Goals: Leones del Norte have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Deportivo Cuenca in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Leones del Norte or Deportivo Cuenca?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form. Leones del Norte have won 40% of home games, Deportivo Cuenca 40% away in Liga Pro. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Leones del Norte and Deportivo Cuenca?

Unlikely. Leones del Norte (40% BTTS at home) and Deportivo Cuenca (10% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga Pro. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Leones del Norte and Deportivo Cuenca?

Unlikely. Leones del Norte (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Deportivo Cuenca (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Liga Pro. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Leones del Norte or Deportivo Cuenca?

Leones del Norte have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Deportivo Cuenca's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Leones del Norte and Deportivo Cuenca?

Leones del Norte have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Deportivo Cuenca in 40% of away games in Liga Pro. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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