Primera Division · Uruguay 🕒 Friday 17th July, 23:30 BST

Nacional vs Wanderers Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Nacional Home 7W 1D 2L last 10 home
VS
Wanderers Away 3W 1D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Nacional 58% Draw 25% Wanderers 17%
⭐ Our Prediction Nacional to Win See why ↓

Nacional vs Wanderers Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Nacional to Win

High confidence

Nacional have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Wanderers have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

What the model says
58% Nacional win 25% Draw 17% Wanderers win 47% BTTS 45% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
77% Under 3.5 Goals 70% Over 1.5 Goals

Nacional average 1.7 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match this season. Wanderers average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded in away fixtures. The home record backs Nacional strongly. They've won 7/10 home games (70%), while Wanderers have lost 6/10 on the road (60%).

Wanderers have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Nacional are lower at home (50%, 5/10), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Wanderers regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Nacional are lower at home (30%, 3/10). They've conceded in 40% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Nacional see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, Wanderers in 20% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

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League Table

Where Nacional and Wanderers sit in the Primera Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
5 Nacional H 19 10 1 8 31:26 +5 31
8 Wanderers A 19 7 5 7 22:24 -2 26
View the full Primera Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Deportivo Maldonado 19 12 3 4 35:20 +15 39
2 Racing 19 10 7 2 25:15 +10 37
3 Peñarol 19 11 3 5 28:18 +10 36
4 Albion 19 9 5 5 29:20 +9 32
5 Nacional H 19 10 1 8 31:26 +5 31
6 Central Español 19 9 4 6 27:25 +2 31
7 Montevideo City Torque 19 8 5 6 29:24 +5 29
8 Wanderers A 19 7 5 7 22:24 -2 26
9 Liverpool 19 6 7 6 22:20 +2 25
10 Cerro Largo 19 7 3 9 21:20 +1 24
11 Defensor Sporting 19 5 8 6 15:16 -1 23
12 Boston River 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
13 Danubio 18 4 7 7 19:26 -7 19
14 Juventud 18 5 3 10 22:29 -7 18
15 Atlético Progreso 19 3 4 12 16:30 -14 13
16 Cerro 19 3 4 12 10:31 -21 13

Team Form

Nacional have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Wanderers's 30% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H Nacional: last 10 home A Wanderers: last 10 away
Won
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Wanderers regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Nacional are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Nacional: last 10 home A Wanderers: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 47% · BTTS No 53%

Match Goals

Wanderers regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Nacional are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Nacional: last 10 home A Wanderers: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Nacional have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Wanderers in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Nacional 1.7 scored · 0.5 conceded per home game Wanderers 1.2 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game
H Nacional: last 10 home A Wanderers: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Nacional 17 scored / 5 conceded at home · Wanderers 12 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Nacional have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Wanderers in 30% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Nacional: last 10 home A Wanderers: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Nacional have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Wanderers have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Nacional: last 10 home A Wanderers: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Nacional vs Wanderers Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Wanderers?

Nacional to Win: Nacional have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Wanderers have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Nacional or Wanderers?

Nacional hold a clear form advantage. They've won 70% of home games in Primera Division this season, while Wanderers have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Nacional and Wanderers?

Mixed. Nacional have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Wanderers in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nacional and Wanderers?

Possibly. Wanderers regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Nacional are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nacional or Wanderers?

Nacional have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Wanderers's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nacional and Wanderers?

Nacional have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Wanderers in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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