Primera Division · Uruguay 🕒 Saturday 18th July, 20:00 BST

Peñarol vs Boston River Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Peñarol Home 2W 3D 5L last 10 home
VS
Boston River Away 2W 1D 7L last 10 away
Win Probability
Peñarol 56% Draw 26% Boston River 18%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

Peñarol vs Boston River Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Peñarol have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Boston River in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says
56% Peñarol win 26% Draw 18% Boston River win 46% BTTS 43% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
69% Over 1.5 Goals

Peñarol average 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Boston River average 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded in away fixtures. The form figures are level. Peñarol have won 20% of home games, Boston River 20% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals: Peñarol in 80% of home games, Boston River in 80% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Peñarol frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Boston River are lower on the road (40%, 4/10). They've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Peñarol see 8+ in 70% of home games, Boston River in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

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League Table

Where Peñarol and Boston River sit in the Primera Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Peñarol H 19 11 3 5 28:18 +10 36
12 Boston River A 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
View the full Primera Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Deportivo Maldonado 19 12 3 4 35:20 +15 39
2 Racing 19 10 7 2 25:15 +10 37
3 Peñarol H 19 11 3 5 28:18 +10 36
4 Albion 19 9 5 5 29:20 +9 32
5 Nacional 19 10 1 8 31:26 +5 31
6 Central Español 19 9 4 6 27:25 +2 31
7 Montevideo City Torque 19 8 5 6 29:24 +5 29
8 Wanderers 19 7 5 7 22:24 -2 26
9 Liverpool 19 6 7 6 22:20 +2 25
10 Cerro Largo 19 7 3 9 21:20 +1 24
11 Defensor Sporting 19 5 8 6 15:16 -1 23
12 Boston River A 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
13 Danubio 18 4 7 7 19:26 -7 19
14 Juventud 18 5 3 10 22:29 -7 18
15 Atlético Progreso 19 3 4 12 16:30 -14 13
16 Cerro 19 3 4 12 10:31 -21 13

Team Form

Peñarol (20% home wins) and Boston River (20% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H Peñarol: last 10 home A Boston River: last 10 away
Won
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Peñarol frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Boston River are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Peñarol: last 10 home A Boston River: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 46% · BTTS No 54%

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Peñarol 80% at home, Boston River 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

H Peñarol: last 10 home A Boston River: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Peñarol have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Boston River in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Peñarol 1.1 scored · 1.4 conceded per home game Boston River 0.6 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game
H Peñarol: last 10 home A Boston River: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Peñarol 11 scored / 14 conceded at home · Boston River 6 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Peñarol (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Boston River (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Peñarol: last 10 home A Boston River: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Peñarol have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Boston River have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

H Peñarol: last 10 home A Boston River: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Peñarol vs Boston River Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Peñarol vs Boston River?

Under 3.5 Goals: Peñarol have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Boston River in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Peñarol or Boston River?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form. Peñarol have won 20% of home games, Boston River 20% away in Primera Division. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Peñarol and Boston River?

Possibly. Peñarol frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Boston River are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Peñarol and Boston River?

Uncertain. Peñarol have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Boston River in 40% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Peñarol or Boston River?

Peñarol have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Boston River's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Peñarol and Boston River?

Peñarol have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Boston River in 60% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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